Earthquakes in Asia: Whole Lotta Shakin’
It's hard not to notice the earthquake risk in the Pacific Rim these days. Maybe the risk actually is higher now, or maybe I just notice it more.
“We have a geological record back 1,000 years. It shows the region being hit by major quakes every 200 to 300 years. The last cluster of powerful quakes happened about 200 years ago. We are entering a new cluster,” said Prof. Kerry Sieh, director of the Nanyang Technological University (NTU) Earth Observatory, in Singapore’s Straits Times newspaper.
Since May, Asia has been hit by three earthquakes of 6.0 or higher on the Richter scale, the magnitude at which earthquakes are generally considered destructive.
The Wenchuan earthquake (magnitude 7.9) in China’s Sichuan province in May occurred in “an “unexpected” location” not previously considered at risk, according to Hong Kong-based
seismologist Dr. Michael Spranger of Munich Re insurance. So did the Indian Ocean earthquake (magnitude 9.1) off Sumatra that caused the 2004 tsunami.
Then, on the night of September 11, 2008 (oh, the irony!), Hokkaido, Japan was hit by a 6.8-magnitude earthquake just off the coast, while at nearly the same moment and Halmahera, Indonesia was rocked by a 6.6-magnitude quake.
So, earthquakes have been more frequent, they’ve been more serious, it’s likely that more are coming, and they might happen in places we don’t expect. Well, then.
Prof C. G. Goh of the new Centre for Hazards Research at the National University of Singapore says, “a big earthquake is a low-probability but high-consequence event. That’s precisely the kind of risk for which business continuity management (BCM) is intended.
In Singapore the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) is co-funding a study to assess the impact of natural catastrophes on the financial sector. The Building & Construction Authority (BCA) is funding an earthquake vulnerability study as part of a “review (of) building codes and regulations after several major earthquakes in the region.”
Property owners in Singapore, Hong Kong and Kuala Lumpur pay little or nothing for insurance that routinely includes earthquake cover. An insurance claims manager said of earthquake insurance, “We’re giving it away almost for free!”
So insurance companies in Asia are about 6.5 Richter points away from a tsunami of claims they aren’t expecting…
Read the full story at Nathaniel Forbes’ BCP Confidential blog
Mass Fatality Incident (MFI) Planning
Many hospitals are unprepared to deal with large numbers of dead bodies that would result from an earthquake or flu pandemic. A ‘mortality surge’ would overwhelm morgue capacity, as it did in the 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami, for example.
Los Angeles County Emergency Medical Services Agency has published “
Mass Fatality Incident Management: Guidance for Hospitals and Other Healthcare Entities”, available on the
Los Angeles County Health Services web site. The checklists, action plans, flow charts, organizational charts and fact sheets can help private-sector contingency planners foresee “bottlenecks” (page 20) in an MFI: identifying decedents and their next-of-kin, preserving decedents’ property and evidence, and processing death certificates (required to claim insurance benefits). U.S. hospitals are required to have an MFI plan by August, 2009.